Developments of methods for estimation/projection of the HIV epidemic

• Goubar A, Ades AE, De Angelis D, McGarrigle CA, Mercer CH, Tookey PA, Fenton K, Gill ON. ""Estimates of HIV prevalence and proportion diagnosed based on Bayesian multi-paramter synthesis of surveillance data (PDF, 268 KB)
  (in press, with discussion, J. R. Statist. Soc. Series A)
• Supplementary tables for Estimates of HIV prevalence and proportion diagnosed based on Bayesian multi-parameter synthesis of surveillance data (PDF, 153 KB)

WinBUGS downloadable files

The BUGS (Bayesian inference Using Gibbs Sampling) project is concerned with flexible software for the Bayesian analysis of complex statistical models using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. The project began in 1989 in the MRC Biostatistics Unit and led initially to the `Classic' BUGS program, and then onto the WinBUGS software developed jointly with the Imperial College School of Medicine at St Mary's, London. Download your free version of this software at: http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs/winbugs/contents.shtml

• WinBUGS codes for models M1, M2, M3, M4 (ZIP Archive, 502 byte)

Related Publications

•  HIV reports

Last reviewed: 19 December 2008