Pandemic Influenza References

View publications relating to the H1N1(2009) pandemic.

• General
• Epidemiology and Mortality 
• Antivirals and Vaccination 
• Pandemic Models 
• Pandemic History 
• Pandemic Plans 

 

General

Barclay WS, Zambon MC. Pandemic risks from bird flu. BMJ 2004; 328:238-9.

Brankston G, Gitterman L, Hirji Z, et al. Transmission of influenza A in human beings. Lancet Infect Dis 2007; 7(4):257-65.

Coker R. UK preparedness for pandemic influenza. BMJ 2007; 334(7601):965-6. 

Khakpour M, Saidi A, Naficy K. Proved viraemia in Asian influenza (Hong Kong variant) during incubation period. BMJ 1969; 4(677):208-9.

Poland GA, Jacobson RM, Targonski PV. Avian and pandemic influenza: an overview. Vaccine 2007; 25(16):3057-61. 

Special issue of The Journal of Infectious Diseases (JID), 2006; 194 (Suppl 2): S65-S161. Title of this issue: Seasonal and Pandemic Influenza: At the Crossroads, a Global Opportunity. Fourteen papers were included in this issue published on 1 November 2006 and they are available online on the jounal's website.

Taubenberger JK, Morens DM, Fauci AS. The next influenza pandemic: can it be predicted? JAMA 2007; 297(18): 2025-7. 

Tooley P. Unprepared for an influenza pandemic. Letter. The Lancet 2001; 358:670-1.

Webby RJ and Webster RG. Are we ready for pandemic influenza? Science 2003;302:1519-22.

WHO. Ten things you need to know about pandemic influenza.  14 October 2005, Available online.

 

Epidemiology and Mortality

Bell DM. Non-pharmaceutical interventions for pandemic influenza, national and community measures. Emerg Infect Dis 2006; 12: 88-94.

 

Bell DM. Non-pharmaceutical interventions for pandemic influenza, international measures. Emerg Infect Dis 2006; 12: 81-87.

Blumfield, H. Kilbourne E, Louria D, Rodgers D. Studies on influenza in the pandemic of 1957-1958. An epidemiologic, clinical and serologic investigation on an intrahospital epidemic, with and note on vaccination efficacy. J Clin Invest 1959: 38:199-212

Choi K, Thacker SB. Mortality during influenza epidemics in the United States, 1967-1978. Am J Public Health 1982;72(11):1280-3.

Luk J, Gross P , and Thompson WW. Observations on Mortality during the 1918 Influenza Pandemic
Clinical Infectious Diseases 2001; 33:1375-8.

Mills CE, Robins JM, Lipsitch M. Transmissibility of 1918 pandemic influenza. Nature 2004; 432:904-6.

Nguyen-Van-Tam JS, Hampson AW. The epidemiology and clinical impact of pandemic influenza. Vaccine 2003;21(16):1762-8.

Reid AH, Janczewski TA, Lourens RM, et al. 1918 influenza pandemic caused by highly conserved viruses with two receptor-binding variants. Emerg Infect Dis 2003; 9:1249-53.

Simonsen L. Clarke MJ, Schonberger LB et al. Pandemic vs. epidemic influenza mortality: a pattern of changing age distribution. J Infect Dis 1998;178:53-60

Woodall J, Rowson, KEK , McDonald JC. Age and Asian Influenza 1957. BMJ 1958;1:1316-8

 

 

Antivirals and Vaccination

Ahmed AH, Nicholson KG, Nguyen-van Tam JS, Pearson JC. Effectiveness of influenza vaccine in reducing hospital admissions during the 1989-90 epidemic. Epidemiol Infect 1997;118(1):27-33.

Cooper B. Inflluenza pandemic scenario analysis report: could a pandemic be contained using antiviral agents? Eurosurveillance Weekly: 2004.;8:9

Hayden FG. Perspectives on antiviral use during pandemic influenza. Phil Trans R Soc Lon B 2001;356:1877-84.

Longini IM, Halloran E, Nizam A and Yang Y. Containing pandemic influenza with antiviral agents. Am J Epidemiol 2004;159:623-33.

Russell RJ, Haire LF, Stevens DJ, et al. The structure of H5N1 avian influenza neuraminidase suggests new opportunities for drug design. Nature 2006; 443(7107):45-9. 

Stilianakis NI, Perelson AS, Hayden FG. Emergence of drug resistance during an influenza epidemic: Insights from a mathematical model. J Infect Dis 1998. 177: 863-73.

Subbarao K and Joseph T. Scientific barriers to developing vaccines against avian influenza viruses. Nat Rev Immunol 2007;7:267-78.

Wood JM, Nicholson KG, Stephenson I et al. Experience with the clinical development of influenza vaccines for potential pandemics. Med Microbiol Immunol (Berl) 2002; 191(3-4):197-201.

 

 

Pandemic Models

Bootsma MC and Ferguson NM. The effect of public health measures on the 1918 influenza pandemic in U.S. cities. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2007; Published online Apr 6, 2007; doi:10.1073/pnas.0611071104

Epstein JM, Goedecke DM, Yu F, et al. Controlling pandemic flu: the value of international air travel restrictions. PLoS ONE. 2007; 2:e401. 

Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Cauchemez S, et al. Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia. Nature 2005; 437:209-214.

Ferguson NM, Cummings DA, Fraser C, et al. Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic. Nature 2006; 442(7101):448-52. 

Longini I. A mathematical model for predicting the geographic spread of new infectious agents. MatheBiosciences 1988;90:367-383

Rvachev LA & Longini IM. A mathematical model for the global spread of influenza. Math Biosciences 1985; 75: 3-22.

Van Genugten, M.L Heijnen, M-L. Jager, J. C. Pandemic influenza and healthcare demand in the Netherlands: Scenario Analysis. Emerg Infect Dis 2003.

Vynnycky E and Edmunds WJ. Analyses of the 1957 (Asian) influenza pandemic in the United Kingdom and the impact of school closures. Epidemiol Infect 2007; pages 1-14. Available onthe journal's website.

Wallinga J, TJ Hagenaars, van Genugten M, Scenario analysis - estimating the effect of different interventions during an influenza pandemic. Eurosurveillance Weekly [1812-075X]. 2004 May 6;5(19) 040506. Available from: http://www.eurosurveillance.org/ew/2004/040506.asp

 

Pandemic History

Hsieh YC, Wu TZ, Liu DP, et al. Influenza pandemics: past, present and future. J Formos. Med Assoc 2006; 105:1-6.

Oxford JS, Sefton A, Jackson R, Innes W, Daniels RS, Johnson NP. World War I may have allowed the emergence of 'Spanish' influenza. Lancet Infect Dis 2002;2(2):111-4.

Potter CW. Chronicle of Influenza pandemics. In Nicholson KG, Webster RG, Hay AJ , eds. Textbook of influenza. London: Blackwell scientific publications: 1998, p3-18.

Reid AH, Fanning TG, Hultin JV, et al. Origin and evolution of the 1918 "Spanish" influenza virus hemagglutinin gene. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 1999; 96:1651-6.

Roden AT. National Experience with Hong Kong Influenza Virus in The United Kingdom, 1968.9. Bull World Health Organ 1969;41:375-380.

 

 

Pandemic Plans

HPA influenza pandemic contingency plan

The newly drafted UK pandemic influenza framework and its six supporting guidances produced by the Cabinet Office and Department of Health (DH) were published on the DH website for consultation on 16 March 2007.

Department of Health Pandemic Plan [external link]

WHO Pandemic Plan [external link]

Last reviewed: 18 May 2012